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IS THE NEW YORK LANDSLIDE A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME?

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April 20, 2016

Donald Trump exceeded expectations last night in New York by capturing what appears to be 90 of the Empire State’s 95 delegates.  Needing to score approximately 80 delegates to get back on track for a long shot first ballot victory at the Republican National Convention in July, Trump did significantly better in his home state than pre-election projections foretold.

 

Trump garnered 60.5% of the statewide vote, making this the first time he has scored a majority in a primary.  Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) was second with 25.1%, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could manage only a 14.5% vote total.

 

Ironically, the only one of the 62 counties Trump failed to carry was New York County, or Manhattan Borough, which is his home.  Gov. Kasich took Manhattan, and won the remaining five NY delegates. 

 

Now Trump will need 57% of the outstanding delegates in the 15 Republican states yet to vote to score a first ballot win without needing any unbound delegates.  He must earn another major victory in the eastern regional primary next Tuesday (CT, DE, MD, PA, RI) to offset what should be strong Cruz performances in Indiana (May 3), Nebraska (May 10), and South Dakota (June 7).  Both Nebraska and South Dakota are Winner-Take-All, while Indiana is Winner-Take-All by congressional district. 

 

Trump should win the New Jersey Winner-Take-All on June 7th, and perform well in West Virginia (May 10).  The Montana Winner-Take-All on 6/7 is becoming highly important to both candidates, and we can expect a maximum effort from both campaigns there. 

 

Oregon (May 17), Washington (May 24), and New Mexico (June 7) appear to be wild cards.  California, with its 172 delegates in a Winner-Take-All by congressional district system (53 CDs), will determine whether Trump can claim a first ballot victory.  Right now, it appears he will have to win 41 of the 53 districts in order to win outright, if he meets projections in all of the aforementioned states.

 

Hillary Clinton also exceeded expectations, winning what looks to be 178 delegates in New York.  She now needs only 28% of the remaining delegates in the 19 Democratic states and territories that still must vote.  Effectively, the Democratic race is over.

 

Below are the latest unofficial delegate results:

 

Republicans

 

CANDIDATE                    ESTIMATED DELEGATE COUNT                 

 

Donald Trump                                       847

 

Ted Cruz                                                559

 

John Kasich                                         149

 

Marco Rubio                                         173 

 

Others                                                     16

 

Uncommitted                                          98

 

Needed to win: 1,237                      Remaining: 674    

 

Italics: candidate has suspended campaign efforts

 

 

Democrats

 

CANDIDATE                           REG DELEGATES         SUPER

 

Hillary Clinton                                  1,446                       478

 

Bernie Sanders                                1,205                         40

 

Martin O’Malley                                                                   1

 

 

Total Clinton:    1,924

 

Total Sanders:  1,245

 

Needed to win: 2,383                      Remaining: 1,672

 

Delegate Count Source:  Unofficial - The Green Papers website (for both parties)

 

The Democratic totals include some Super Delegates who have announced their support for a candidate even though their states have not yet voted.

 Source: AAN - See more at: http://americanactionnews.com/articles/is-the-new-york-landslide-a-sign-of-things-to-come#sthash.hEDkNbrR.dpuf

 

Donald Trump exceeded expectations last night in New York by capturing what appears to be 90 of the Empire State’s 95 delegates.  Needing to score approximately 80 delegates to get back on track for a long shot first ballot victory at the Republican National Convention in July, Trump did significantly better in his home state than pre-election projections foretold.

 

 

Trump garnered 60.5% of the statewide vote, making this the first time he has scored a majority in a primary.  Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) was second with 25.1%, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could manage only a 14.5% vote total.

 

Ironically, the only one of the 62 counties Trump failed to carry was New York County, or Manhattan Borough, which is his home.  Gov. Kasich took Manhattan, and won the remaining five NY delegates. 

 

Now Trump will need 57% of the outstanding delegates in the 15 Republican states yet to vote to score a first ballot win without needing any unbound delegates.  He must earn another major victory in the eastern regional primary next Tuesday (CT, DE, MD, PA, RI) to offset what should be strong Cruz performances in Indiana (May 3), Nebraska (May 10), and South Dakota (June 7).  Both Nebraska and South Dakota are Winner-Take-All, while Indiana is Winner-Take-All by congressional district. 

 

Trump should win the New Jersey Winner-Take-All on June 7th, and perform well in West Virginia (May 10).  The Montana Winner-Take-All on 6/7 is becoming highly important to both candidates, and we can expect a maximum effort from both campaigns there. 

 

Oregon (May 17), Washington (May 24), and New Mexico (June 7) appear to be wild cards.  California, with its 172 delegates in a Winner-Take-All by congressional district system (53 CDs), will determine whether Trump can claim a first ballot victory.  Right now, it appears he will have to win 41 of the 53 districts in order to win outright, if he meets projections in all of the aforementioned states.

 

Hillary Clinton also exceeded expectations, winning what looks to be 178 delegates in New York.  She now needs only 28% of the remaining delegates in the 19 Democratic states and territories that still must vote.  Effectively, the Democratic race is over.

 

Below are the latest unofficial delegate results:

 

Republicans

 

CANDIDATE                    ESTIMATED DELEGATE COUNT                 

 

Donald Trump                                       847

 

Ted Cruz                                                559

 

John Kasich                                         149

 

Marco Rubio                                         173 

 

Others                                                     16

 

Uncommitted                                          98

 

Needed to win: 1,237                      Remaining: 674    

 

Italics: candidate has suspended campaign efforts

 

 

Democrats

 

CANDIDATE                           REG DELEGATES         SUPER

 

Hillary Clinton                                  1,446                       478

 

Bernie Sanders                                1,205                         40

 

Martin O’Malley                                                                   1

 

 

Total Clinton:    1,924

 

Total Sanders:  1,245

 

Needed to win: 2,383                      Remaining: 1,672

 

Delegate Count Source:  Unofficial - The Green Papers website (for both parties)

 

The Democratic totals include some Super Delegates who have announced their support for a candidate even though their states have not yet voted.

 
 Source: AAN - See more at: http://americanactionnews.com/articles/is-the-new-york-landslide-a-sign-of-things-to-come#sthash.hEDkNbrR.dpuf
Donald Trump exceeded expectations last night in New York by capturing what appears to be 90 of the Empire State’s 95 delegates.  Needing to score approximately 80 delegates to get back on track for a long shot first ballot victory at the Republican National Convention in July, Trump did significantly better in his home state than pre-election projections foretold.

 

 

Trump garnered 60.5% of the statewide vote, making this the first time he has scored a majority in a primary.  Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) was second with 25.1%, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz could manage only a 14.5% vote total.

 

Ironically, the only one of the 62 counties Trump failed to carry was New York County, or Manhattan Borough, which is his home.  Gov. Kasich took Manhattan, and won the remaining five NY delegates. 

 

Now Trump will need 57% of the outstanding delegates in the 15 Republican states yet to vote to score a first ballot win without needing any unbound delegates.  He must earn another major victory in the eastern regional primary next Tuesday (CT, DE, MD, PA, RI) to offset what should be strong Cruz performances in Indiana (May 3), Nebraska (May 10), and South Dakota (June 7).  Both Nebraska and South Dakota are Winner-Take-All, while Indiana is Winner-Take-All by congressional district. 

 

Trump should win the New Jersey Winner-Take-All on June 7th, and perform well in West Virginia (May 10).  The Montana Winner-Take-All on 6/7 is becoming highly important to both candidates, and we can expect a maximum effort from both campaigns there. 

 

Oregon (May 17), Washington (May 24), and New Mexico (June 7) appear to be wild cards.  California, with its 172 delegates in a Winner-Take-All by congressional district system (53 CDs), will determine whether Trump can claim a first ballot victory.  Right now, it appears he will have to win 41 of the 53 districts in order to win outright, if he meets projections in all of the aforementioned states.

 

Hillary Clinton also exceeded expectations, winning what looks to be 178 delegates in New York.  She now needs only 28% of the remaining delegates in the 19 Democratic states and territories that still must vote.  Effectively, the Democratic race is over.

 

Below are the latest unofficial delegate results:

 

Republicans

 

CANDIDATE                    ESTIMATED DELEGATE COUNT                 

 

Donald Trump                                       847

 

Ted Cruz                                                559

 

John Kasich                                         149

 

Marco Rubio                                         173 

 

Others                                                     16

 

Uncommitted                                          98

 

Needed to win: 1,237                      Remaining: 674    

 

Italics: candidate has suspended campaign efforts

 

 

Democrats

 

CANDIDATE                           REG DELEGATES         SUPER

 

Hillary Clinton                                  1,446                       478

 

Bernie Sanders                                1,205                         40

 

Martin O’Malley                                                                   1

 

 

Total Clinton:    1,924

 

Total Sanders:  1,245

 

Needed to win: 2,383                      Remaining: 1,672

 

Delegate Count Source:  Unofficial - The Green Papers website (for both parties)

 

The Democratic totals include some Super Delegates who have announced their support for a candidate even though their states have not yet voted.

 
 Source: AAN - See more at: http://americanactionnews.com/articles/is-the-new-york-landslide-a-sign-of-things-to-come#sthash.hEDkNbrR.dpuf