The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration now expects a higher likelihood of a near-normal or above-normal hurricane season.   ME:  THEY DIDNT SAY THIS LAST SPRING.

"We've raised the numbers because some conditions now in place are indicative of a more active hurricane season," says Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center.

REF: WASH POST YEARS AGO I READ THAT:

NOAA HAS BEEN SO WRONG YEAR AFTER YEAR THAT SIMPLY FLIPPING A COIN IS MORE ACCURATE THAN THEIR PREDICTIONS.   OF COURSE THESE SAME GENIUS SCIENTISTS GETTING  PUBLIC MONEY PAYCHECKS ARE ALSO PREDICTING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR AFTER YEAR DESPITE THE ABSOLUTE FACT THAT GLOBAL TEMPS FOR 17 YEARS HAS REMAINED ESSENTIALLY FLAT.   BUT IF YOU DRAW A LINE ON THE BAR CHART FOR THE TOP TEMP MEASUREMENT NUMBERS THAN U CAN SAY WITH STRAIGHT FACE......THE GLOBAL TEMPS ARE UP AND UP!!!    BUT IF YOU DRAW A LINE ON THE LOWER BAND OF MARGIN OF ERROR YOU CAN SAY WITH STRAIGHT FACE THAT THE GLOBAL TEMPS HAVE DROPPED 1.5 DEGREES OVER MORE THAN  A DECADE!  AND WE ARE COOLING.   THE TRUTH IS NEITHER.

THE UN PANEL CLIMATE REPORT ADDRESSED THIS ACCURATELY AND STATED THAT ON BALANCE AND ALTHOUGH THE GLOBAL TEMPS HAVE NOT INCREASED OVER PAST 15 YEARS.........IT IS ONLY A SPEED BUMP ON THE WAY TO GLOBAL WARMING CIRCA 2050 AND NYC WILL BE UNDER WATER, ETC.

THE ONLY ACCURATE WAY TO MEAS. GLOBAL TEMPS IS VIA NASA INFRA RED SAT. HIGH OVERHEAD.    LAND STATIONS ARE POLLUTED WITH HEAT SIGNATURES FROM PAVE AREAS AND TRAFFIC AND HEAT REFLECTIONS FROM CONCRETE STRUCTURES, ETC.

NOAA PREDICTED EARLY 2016 THAT THERE WOULD BE LOW ACTIVITY OF HURRICANES FOR ALL OF 2016.    SO NOW WE ARE IN AUG. AND THEY WANT TO UP IT.....FINE, NO HARM DONE AS THEY ARE ALWAYS BUT ALWAYS WRONG!!!

THE FAMOUS TWO HURRICAN SCIENTISTS PUT OUT A JOINT ANNOUNCEMENT YEARS AGO AT UNIV. OF DENVER STATING THAT THEY WERE LEAVING THE HURRICANE PREDICTION BUSINESS AS THEY HAVE CONCLUDED THAT WEATHER MODELS ARE SIMPLY WRONG AND NOT ACCURATE ON BALANCE.    U WANT A REF?  I HAVE IT.  

ME:   MY PREDICTIONS HAVE BEEN FAR FAR BETTER THAN NOAA BECAUSE I CHOOSE THE SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY MODEL BASIS.......IT IS REALLY SIMPLE AND DOESNT REQUIRE A FANCY MODEL OR MILLION $ COMPUTER.

READY:   IF THE SUN ENTERS A HIGH FLARE ACTIVITY TIME PERIOD?   EARTH TEMPS WILL RISE AND HENCE MORE ENERGY GOES INTO THE OCEAN AND CREATES THE STRONGER WEATHER PATTERNS TO INCLUDE HURRICANES......SUN HAS BEEN FOR YEARS IN DECLINING FLARE ACTIVITY AND SOME SCIENTISTS ARE CONCERNED WE ARE GOING INTO GLOBAL COOLING!!!   DR. LOVEOCK WAS THE FATHER OF GLOBAL WARMING AND CHANGED HIS MIND!!!!!   C02 IS UP BUT TEMPS ARE NOT......SUM TING WONG SAYS DR. CHINA....LOL.    IF SUN DECLINES IN ACTIVITY?  HMMM, WELL THE TEMPS GO DOWN JUST LIKE A FIREPLACE WITH DWINDLING WOOD LEFT TO BURN.       ME:   THERE WILL BE NO SIGNIF. INCREASE IN HURRICANES HITTING USA.    READY?  WHEN SANDY HIT USA IT WAS NOT.....REPEAT NOT A HURRICANE!!!!!!    USA HAS RECORD NO. OF LOW OR EVEN NO HURRICANES OVER PAST YEARS.....REPEAT:   SOME YEARS NO HURRICANES HITTING USA AT ALL!!!!!!!!!   KATRINA WAS THE LAST HOORAY SO TO SPEAK.    AFTER THAT ONE?  ZIP!!!

THE REAL GLOBAL PROBLEM IS HEAVY METALS FR CHINA GETTING INTO OUR AIR.   POLLUTION IN OUR WATERS AND OCEANS.   OVER FISHING THE OCEANS.   THE RED MEAT INDUSTRY CREATING POLLUTION SEVERE AND MAJOR SOURCE OF CO2 GASES!!!!!!!!!!      IF I WAS IN HURRICAN PREDICTION BUSINESS? THEN I WOULD SAY EVER YEAR THAT USA WILL HAVE 10-11 HURRICANES THIS SEASONS PLUS OR MINUS 3.   YOU WOULD NOT BELIEVE HOW ACCURATE I WOULD BE OVER A 20 YEAR STRETCH!!!   BUT I WOULD LOOK LIKE A FOOL OVER PASE 8 YEARS!!   SO I DO OTHER THINGS.

LOVELOCK SAID:

"Father" of Global Warming changes his mind, says Doomsday scenario not likely

http://www.torontosun.com/2012/06/22/green-drivel

Two months ago, James Lovelock, the godfather of global warming, gave a startling interview to msnbc.com in which he acknowledged he had been unduly “alarmist” about climate change.

The implications were extraordinary.

Lovelock is a world-renowned scientist and environmentalist whose Gaia theory — that the Earth operates as a single, living organism — has had a profound impact on the development of global warming theory.

Unlike many “environmentalists,” who have degrees in political science, Lovelock, until his recent retirement at age 92, was a much-honoured working scientist and academic.

His inventions have been used by NASA, among many other scientific organizations.

Lovelock’s invention of the electron capture detector in 1957 first enabled scientists to measure CFCs (chlorofluorocarbons) and other pollutants in the atmosphere, leading, in many ways, to the birth of the modern environmental movement.

Having observed that global temperatures since the turn of the millennium have not gone up in the way computer-based climate models predicted, Lovelock acknowledged, “the problem is we don’t know what the climate is doing. We thought we knew 20 years ago.” Now, Lovelock has given a follow-up interview to the UK’s Guardian newspaper in which he delivers more bombshells sure to anger the global green movement, which for years worshipped his Gaia theory and apocalyptic predictions that billions would die from man-made climate change by the end of this century.

Lovelock still believes anthropogenic global warming is occurring and that mankind must lower its greenhouse gas emissions, but says it’s now clear the doomsday predictions, including his own (and Al Gore’s) were incorrect.

He responds to attacks on his revised views by noting that, unlike many climate scientists who fear a loss of government funding if they admit error, as a freelance scientist, he’s never been afraid to revise his theories in the face of new evidence. Indeed, that’s how science advances.

Among his observations to the Guardian:

(1) A long-time supporter of nuclear power as a way to lower greenhouse gas emissions, which has made him unpopular with environmentalists, Lovelock has now come out in favour of natural gas fracking (which environmentalists also oppose), as a low-polluting alternative to coal.

As Lovelock observes, “Gas is almost a give-away in the U.S. at the moment. They’ve gone for fracking in a big way. This is what makes me very cross with the greens for trying to knock it … Let’s be pragmatic and sensible and get Britain to switch everything to methane. We should be going mad on it.” (Kandeh Yumkella, co-head of a major United Nations program on sustainable energy, made similar arguments last week at a UN environmental conference in Rio de Janeiro, advocating the development of conventional and unconventional natural gas resources as a way to reduce deforestation and save millions of lives in the Third World.)

(2) Lovelock blasted greens for treating global warming like a religion.

“It just so happens that the green religion is now taking over from the Christian religion,” Lovelock observed. “I don’t think people have noticed that, but it’s got all the sort of terms that religions use … The greens use guilt. That just shows how religious greens are. You can’t win people round by saying they are guilty for putting (carbon dioxide) in the air.”

(3) Lovelock mocks the idea modern economies can be powered by wind turbines.

As he puts it, “so-called ‘sustainable development’ … is meaningless drivel … We rushed into renewable energy without any thought. The schemes are largely hopelessly inefficient and unpleasant.

DAVID M. ADAM, JR.

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