Good Morning Ladies  and Gentlemen.

The debate about  global warming has reached ridiculous proportions and is full of micro thin  half-truths and misunderstandings.

I am a scientist who  was on the carbon gravy train, I understand the evidence, I was once an  alarmist, but I am now a sceptic.

Watching this issue  unfold has been amusing but, lately, worrying.

This issue is tearing  society apart, making fools and liars out of our politicians.

Let’s set a few things  straight.

The whole idea that  carbon dioxide is the main cause of the recent global warming is based on a  guess which was proved false by empirical evidence during the 1990s. But the  gravy train was too big, with too many jobs, industries, trading profits,  political careers, and the possibility of world government and total control  riding on the outcome.  So rather than admit they were wrong, the  governments, and their tame climate scientists, now cheat and lie outrageously  to maintain the fiction about carbon dioxide being a dangerous  pollutant.

Let’s be perfectly  clear. Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, and other things being equal, the  more carbon dioxide in the air, the warmer the planet. Every bit of carbon  dioxide that we emit warms the planet. But the issue is not whether carbon  dioxide warms the planet, but how much.

Most scientists, on  both sides, also agree on how much a given increase in the level of carbon  dioxide raises the planets temperature, if just the extra carbon dioxide is  considered. These calculations come from laboratory experiments; the basic  physics have been well known for a century.

The disagreement comes  about what happens next.

The planet reacts to  the extra carbon dioxide, which changes everything.  Most critically, the  extra warmth causes more water to evaporate from the oceans. But does the  water hang around and increase the height of moist air in the atmosphere, or  does it simply create more clouds and rain back in 1980, when the carbon  dioxide theory started, no one knew. 

The alarmists  guessed that it would increase the height of moist air around the planet,  which would warm the planet even further, because the moist air is also a  greenhouse gas.

This is the core idea  of every official climate model: for each bit of warming due to carbon  dioxide, they claim it ends up causing three bits of warming due to the extra  moist air. The climates models amplify the carbon dioxide warming by a factor  of three so two thirds of their projected warming is due to extra moist air  (and other factors), only one third is due to extra carbon  dioxide.

I’ll bet you didn’t  know that. Hardly anyone in the public does, but it’s the core of the issue.  All the disagreements, lies, and misunderstanding spring from this. The  alarmist case is based on this guess about moisture in the atmosphere, and  there is simply no evidence for the amplification that is at the core of their  alarmism. Which is why the alarmists keep so quiet about it and you’ve never  heard of it before. And it tells you what a poor job the media have done in  covering this issue.

Weather balloons had  been measuring the atmosphere since the 1960s, many thousands of them every  year. The climate models all predict that as the planet warms, a hot-spot of  moist air will develop over the tropics about 10km up, as the layer of moist  air expands upwards into the cool dry air above.

During the warming of  the late 1970s, 80s, and 90s, the weather balloons found no hot-spot. None at  all. Not even a small one. This evidence proves the climate models are  fundamentally flawed and they greatly overestimate the temperature increases  due to carbon dioxide.

This evidence first  became clear around the mid-1990s.

At this point official  climate science stopped being a science. You see, in science empirical  evidence always trumps theory, no matter how much you are in love with the  theory. If theory and evidence disagree, real scientists scrap the theory. But  official climate science ignored the crucial weather balloon evidence, and  other subsequent evidence that backs it up, and instead clung to their carbon  dioxide theory this just happens to keep them in high-paying jobs with lavish  research grants, and gives great political power to their government  masters.

There are now several  independent pieces of evidence showing that the earth responds to the warming  due to extra carbon dioxide by /dampening /the warming. Every long-lived  natural system behaves this way, counteracting any disturbances; otherwise the  system would be unstable. The climate system is no exception, and now we can  prove it.

But the alarmists say  the exact opposite, that the climate system amplifies any warming due to extra  carbon dioxide, and is potentially unstable. Surprise - surprise, their  predictions of planetary temperature made in 1988 to the US Congress, and  again in 1990, 1995, and 2001, have all proved much higher than  reality.

They keep lowering the  temperature increases they expect, from 0.30C per decade in 1990, to 0.20C per  decade in 2001, and now 0.15C per decade yet they have the gall to tell us its  worse than expected. These people are not scientists. They over-estimate the  temperature increases due to carbon dioxide, selectively deny evidence, and  now they cheat and lie to conceal the truth.

One way they cheat is  in the way they measure temperature.

The official  thermometers are often located in the warm exhaust of air conditioning  outlets, over hot tarmac at airports where they get blasts of hot air from jet  engines, at wastewater plants where they get warmth from decomposing sewerage  or in hot cities choked with cars and buildings. Global warming is measured in  tenths of a degree, so any extra heating nudge is important. In the US, nearly  90% of official thermometers surveyed by volunteers violate official siting  requirements that they not be too close to an artificial heating source.  Nearly 90%!

The photos of these  thermometers are on the Internet; you can get to them via the corruption paper  at my site, sciencespeak.com <http://sciencespeak.com>  <http://sciencespeak.com/. Look at the photos, and you’ll  never trust a government climate scientist again.

They place their  thermometers in warm localities, and call the results global warming. Anyone  can understand that this is cheating. They say that 2010 is the warmest recent  year, but it was only the warmest at various airports, selected air  conditioners, and certain car parks.

Global temperature is  also measured by satellites, which measure nearly the whole planet 24/7without  bias. The satellites say the hottest recent year was 1998, and that since 2001  the global temperature has levelled off.

So it’s a question of  trust.

If it really is  warming up as the government climate scientists say, why they present only the  surface thermometer results and not mention the satellite results and why do  they put their thermometers near artificial heating sources this is so  obviously a scam now.

So what is really  going on with the climate

The earth has been in  a warming trend since the depth of the Little Ice Age around 1680. Human  emissions of carbon dioxide were negligible before 1850 and have nearly all  come after WWII, so human carbon dioxide cannot possibly have caused the  trend. Within the trend, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation causes alternating  global warming and cooling for 25-30 years at a go in each direction. We have  just finished a warming phase, so expect mild global cooling for the next two  decades.

We are now at an  extraordinary juncture.

Official climate  science, which is funded and directed entirely by government, promotes a  theory which is based on a guess about moist air and is now a known falsehood.  Governments gleefully accept their advice, because the only way to curb  emissions is to impose taxes and extend government control over all energy  use. And to curb emissions on a world scale might even lead to world  government how exciting for the political class!

A carbon  tax

Even if Australia  stopped emitting all carbon dioxide tomorrow, completely shut up shop and went  back to the Stone Age, according to the official government climate models it  would be cooler in 2050 by about 0.015 degrees. But their models exaggerate  tenfold, in fact our sacrifices would make the planet in 2050 a mere 0.0015  degrees cooler!

Sorry, but you’ve been  had!